The players are the same, and the numbers havenâ€™t changed.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the governorâ€™s race in Ohio finds Republican John Kasich with a 47% to 40% lead over incumbent Democrat Ted Strickland – for the second month in a row. Three percent (3%) of Likely Voters in the state prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided.
But both major party candidates show a continuing inability to move their vote totals out of the range theyâ€™ve been in for months. Kasich earned 47% support to Stricklandâ€™s 42% last month.
In April and May, the candidates were basically tied. Prior to that time, Kasich had held modest leads over Strickland. Since December, Kasichâ€™s support has remained in the narrow range of 46% to 49%, while Stricklandâ€™s in that same period have fallen in the 38% to 45% range.
Strickland was elected governor in 2006 with 60% of the vote.
Kasich, a former congressman, holds a double-digit lead among male voters, while female voters break essentially even between the two candidates. Voters not affiliated with either party favor the Republican by a 45% to 28% margin.
The economy and jobs continue to be the central issues in a state that has one of the highest unemployment rates in the country. While Republicans focus on job losses while Strickland has been governor., Democrats have countered by citing Kasichâ€™s ties to Wall Street. The Republican has worked as an investment banker since leaving Congress in 2000.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on June 29, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Former Republican Congressman Rob Portman holds a narrow 43% to 39% lead over Democratic Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher in Ohioâ€™s U.S. Senate race.
Sixty percent (60%) of voters in Ohio favor a tough immigration law like Arizonaâ€™s in their state, which is a bit higher than support nationally. Twenty-seven percent (27%) oppose such a law, but 12% more are undecided.
Sixty-three percent (63%) of the larger group that favor an Arizona-like law support Kasich. Strickland earns 74% support from those who oppose a law like that in Ohio.
Twenty-two percent (22%) of Ohio voters consider themselves members of the Tea Party movement, compared to 16% nationwide.Â Sixty-three percent (63%) are not members, but 15% arenâ€™t sure.
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