Yemen’s chaos is good news for Al Qaeda

June 3, 2011

By Ken Dilanian, Los Angeles Times

The escalating violence in Yemen is hampering critical U.S. counter-terrorism operations and has given Al Qaeda‘s most active affiliate increased opportunities for recruitment and plotting, current and former U.S. officials warn.

Yemeni forces trained by the U.S. to help hunt Islamic militants have been diverted to protect the beleaguered regime of President Ali Abdullah Saleh, making it more difficult to support American spying and special military operations. At the same time, the U.S. has been forced to evacuate nonessential personnel from its embassy in the capital, Sana.

“The trends are strongly negative,” Edmund Hull, U.S. ambassador to Yemen from 2001 to 2004, said Thursday. “The government is in chaos and Al Qaeda’s operating space has expanded.”

Yemen is the first nation caught up in this year’s series of peaceful and violent uprisings across the Middle East where Al Qaeda appears to be gaining from the turmoil, experts said.

The rising chaos in Yemen after nearly four months of mostly peaceful street protests has become a growing worry for Washington. President Obama’s top counter-terrorism advisor, John Brennan, is visiting the region this week to get a handle on what the White House called “the deteriorating situation in Yemen.”

Saleh has reneged on deals brokered by regional leaders and U.S. Ambassador Gerald M. Feierstein to secure a peaceful end to the Yemeni president’s nearly 33 years in power, a tenure marked by a separatist rebellion in the south, a Shiite Muslim insurgency in the north and the emergence of an Al Qaeda faction with global reach.

On Thursday, White House Press Secretary Jay Carney again called on Saleh “to begin the process of transferring power immediately. We continue to call on his government to cease and desist from using violence against peaceful protesters. And we remain very concerned about what’s happening there.”

Reports that Al Qaeda fighters have seized cities in recent days are “overblown,” U.S. officials said. Militants who have captured the southern port of Zinjibar are more likely local Islamists, said Leslie Campbell, Middle East director for the National Democratic Institute, a nonpartisan U.S. organization that works to support political and civic groups in Yemen.

But in the destitute, desolate land that was the ancestral home of Osama bin Laden, Al Qaeda doesn’t need to hold territory to plan attacks, analysts say.

“It’s the classic safe haven objective,” said Hull, “trying to re-create a situation similar to what they had in Afghanistan.”

Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, the terrorist network’s Yemeni branch, has emerged since 2008 as the most significant threat with attempts to stage attacks on American soil, overshadowing branches in Pakistan and elsewhere, U.S. intelligence officials have said.

On Christmas Day 2009, for example, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, a Nigerian, attempted to detonate explosives in his underwear aboard a Northwest Airlines jet over Detroit. The Yemeni group later said it was responsible for the bungled bombing, describing it as revenge for U.S. support for a Yemeni military offensive against Al Qaeda.

The Al Qaeda affiliate also claimed responsibility in October after U.S. and allied intelligence services, acting on a tip, helped find mail bombs that were disguised as ink toner cartridges aboardFedEx and UPS cargo planes headed from Yemen to the United States.

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