by Chris Kahn | Yahoo! News
September 18, 2016

NEW YORK – An election analysis conducted in the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project shows that the race has tightened considerably over the past few weeks, with Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump projected to win Florida, an essential battleground state, if the election were held today.

The project, which is based on a weekly tracking poll of more than 15,000 Americans, shows that the 2016 presidential race could end in a photo finish on Nov. 8, with the major-party candidates running nearly even in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately selects the president.

The States of the Nation project, which delivers a weekly tally of support for the candidates in every state, shows that the race has tightened in several traditional battlegrounds. Pennsylvania has been moved from a likely win for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton to a tossup; Ohio has been moved from a tossup to a likely win for Clinton.

And Florida is now considered a likely win for the Republican nominee, with 50 percent support for Trump to 46 percent support for Clinton. If the election were held today, the project estimates that Clinton has a 60 percent chance of winning by 18 electoral votes. Last week, the project estimated that Clinton had a 83 percent chance of winning the election.

In a separate national Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll, Clinton continues to lead Trump by 4 percentage points, and her recent bout with pneumonia doesn’t appear to have scared away her supporters.

8 Comments - what are your thoughts?

  • CharlieSeattle says:

    Remember, The polls do not elect you!
    ……The popular vote does not elect you!
    …………..The “Electoral College” vote elects you!

    I’ll wait for the election and the more important “Electoral College” vote. It still does not look good so far, but it has been swinging toward Trump just recently.

    See today’s 9-19-2016, “Electoral College” vote poll tracker below. Click on the “Previous Report” button to walk the poll backwards day by day. (updated daily)

    It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2016 presidential election.

    Clinton 274
    Ties 6
    Trump 258

  • justinwachin says:

    Donald Trump can win the election if he will just filter what he’s thinking before saying it. Much of each candidate’s troubles have been self-inflicted.

  • Rodney Steward says:

    You voters up North need to wake up, there has been 3 terrorist attacks in 24 hrs, and Hellary want 500% more of these made up refugees?? You vote in Hellary, U deserve everything U get!!

    1. Dolores Adams says:

      I pray that people are going to be smart enough NOT TO VOTE for corrupt Clinton, but I sure won’t hold my breath.

      1. Rodney Steward says:

        For God’s sake, me too!

      2. Dorothyclivingston2 says:

        Google is paying 97$ per hour! Work for few hours and have longer with friends & family! !sk145f:
        On tuesday I got a great new Land Rover Range Rover from having earned $8752 this last four weeks.. Its the most-financialy rewarding I’ve had.. It sounds unbelievable but you wont forgive yourself if you don’t check it
        ➽➽;➽➽ http://GoogleFinancialJobsCash435DirectStoneGetPay$97Hour ★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★::::::!sk145f:….,…..

    2. Elaine says:

      In a way, I wish they wouldn’t do these projections. When it looks like Trump is pulling ahead, the Dimocrats go around in buses and pick up hordes of derelicts from off the street, anyone who can recognize a “D” on the ballot, and register them to vote, and then take them to the polls. And if they can’t read, they draw a picture of a “D” on a piece of paper, and instruct these people to seek and find it on the ballot, and mark the X next to it. No wonder they pitch a hissy fit when we want voter ID laws.

      1. Rodney Steward says:

        My state, no ID, NO VOTE, and that’s on the door before U go in, and it use to be like this pretty much everywhere in the country! They don’t have a problem coming up with ID for food stamps and other free stuff!

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