Big GOP Turn-Out Advantage Predicted For November

by
September 17, 2014

Per a report in the Washington Post, “Republicans are far more enthusiastic than Democrats to vote this fall and that gap will likely mean a major GOP turnout edge.” The analysis is based upon several recent polls and while the anticipated GOP advantage among likely voters isn’t as high as it has been in the past, it’s high enough to point to significant Republican gains across the board. The average likely voter swing toward Republicans is 5.5 percentage points across the four polls, slightly smaller than Republicans’ advantage in 2010 (a 6.3-point swing toward Republicans) but clearly larger than in other recent midterms like 2006 (a 1-point swing) or 2002 (a 2.5-point swing). Additionally, with two months to go before election day how issues continue to play out will likely matter. If the GOP can continue to hammer issues such as foreign policy, immigration and the economy, building on current momentum, they may very well expand this margin even more. The latest national polls largely jibe with polling earlier this year that found Republicans with a significant turnout advantage, albeit smaller than in 2010. Results for basic vote intention are a cruder but clearer way to see

2 Comments - what are your thoughts?

  • ChaznGwenie Gugins says:

    Didn’t I hear from just about every conservative leaning site in 2012 that Romney would win in a landslide? I sure did and look how it really turned out. I’m conservative but I don’t believe all this hype anyway. We will find out November 4th of this year and no sooner.

  • Ddenney1 says:

    WE MUST TURN OUT!!!!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Keep the Fake News Media in check.

Don’t let the MSM censor your news as America becomes Great Again. Over 500,000 Americans receive our daily dose of life, liberty and pursuit of happiness along with Breaking News direct to their inbox—and you can too. Sign up to receive news and views from The 1776Coalition!

We know how important your privacy is and your information is SAFE with us. We’ll never sell
your email address and you can unsubscribe at any time directly from your inbox.
View our full privacy policy.