Five paths to victory for Trump

One of the most pervasive myths in American politics is that a “Big Blue Wall” will protect Democratic presidential nominees, perhaps even those who lose the popular vote. In truth, this electoral Blue Wall is more like a collection of disconnected forts—some imposing, some not—and the loss of any one of them would likely doom the Democratic nominee.

The Blue Wall—states where the Democrats have won every presidential race since 1992—includes the entire Northeast except for New Hampshire, the Midwestern Great Lakes states aside from Ohio and Indiana, the three Pacific Coast states, and Hawaii. Even holding the wall is no guarantee of victory. John Kerry won the entire Blue Wall in 2004, plus New Hampshire, yet still lost to George W. Bush by 35 electoral votes. Al Gore won the entire Blue Wall in 2000—back when it was worth 13 more electoral votes—plus Iowa and New Mexico, yet still lost to Bush by 5 electoral votes. For the Democrats, holding the Blue Wall is necessary but not sufficient.

It is often claimed that Donald Trump has several must-win states, and this is true (although the states listed are often wrong). In addition to the 23 states that Mitt Romney won by at least 7 percentage points, which Trump isn’t going to lose, Trump has 3 must-win states: Ohio, Florida, and North Carolina. (Polling finds that Trump narrowly overtook Clinton in mid-September in all three.) If Hillary Clinton wins any of those states, it’ll be a knockout blow.

But in addition to the 15 states where President Obama beat Romney by at least 10 points, which Clinton isn’t going to lose, Clinton has 5 must-win states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Virginia. (Polling finds her ahead in all five.) The first four are part of the Blue Wall; the Old Dominion is not. If Trump wins any of those states, he’ll be headed to the White House.

So there are eight potential knockout states in this election, and five of them are being defended by Hillary Clinton.

7 Comments - what are your thoughts?

  • Tiger says:

    Stay the course. Fight the good fight. Take no prisoners, show no mercy, when she is wavering and faltering hit her again.

  • Tiger says:

    1.) Open every taboo that has been locked up by Establishment. Done.
    2.) Talk like a layman, tell it like it is, take names and call um out. Done.
    3.) After annihilating the enemy get all ducks in a row. Done.
    4.) Never falter from the facts of the threats and become stronger. Done.
    5.) Now that all enemies flailing like fish on the shore, hit um again. Done.

  • fish53 says:

    Wake Up America before we want have a country to call our own. If people vote for Killary, y’all can kiss America good-bye as we know it. Look at all the hidden e-mails she deleted that were discovered by leaked information. Her foundation received money from foreign government. Also, the pay-for-play scam going on. Y’all better wake up. Killary don’t care about you. All she cares about is getting more power to do as she please and to satisfy the special interest, the big banks, the establishment, and the elites that donated big money to her campaign. Wake Up and vote Trump/Pence. Give these guys a chance. We gave everybody else a try why not Trump/Pence. Wake Up America!

  • Walter Flatt says:



    1. Tiger says:

      Take no prisoners and show no mercy.

    2. Jenniferssecrest3 says:

      Google is paying 97$ per hour! Work for few hours and have longer with friends & family! !ok55f:
      On tuesday I got a great new Land Rover Range Rover from having earned $8752 this last four weeks.. Its the most-financialy rewarding I’ve had.. It sounds unbelievable but you wont forgive yourself if you don’t check it
      ➽➽;➽➽ http://GoogleFinancialJobsCash355DirectTeamGetPay$97Hour ★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★✫★★::::::!ok55f:….,…..

Leave a Reply to Tiger Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Keep the Fake News Media in check.

Don’t let the MSM censor your news as America becomes Great Again. Over 500,000 Americans receive our daily dose of life, liberty and pursuit of happiness along with Breaking News direct to their inbox—and you can too. Sign up to receive news and views from The 1776Coalition!

We know how important your privacy is and your information is SAFE with us. We’ll never sell
your email address and you can unsubscribe at any time directly from your inbox.
View our full privacy policy.