The election is turning against Vice-President Harris.

Harris was the frontrunner in the fall and late summer, as Democrats compared her campaign to that of former President Obama.

Democrats gained ground in the polls after President Biden dropped from the race. They made up for the lost ground Biden had suffered.

Recent polls indicate that the energy level has remained constant. Harris has lost ground despite having a slight edge over the former president Trump in many battleground states and nationally.

For example, the Decision Desk HQ poll numbers show that she has lost four percentage points over the last month.

In some battleground states, there’s been a slight shift toward Trump over the last two weeks.

In Wisconsin for instance, Harris’ lead over Trump dropped from 2 points to a tie.

In Michigan, she moved from being 1 point ahead to being 1 point behind. In Pennsylvania, Trump also closed the 1-point gap and pulled even with her.

Scott Tranter is the Data Science Director for Decision Desk HQ. He said that while these polls fall within the margin of errors, they are still considered significant.

Some Democrats have become concerned about the possibility that their election could be thrown off course after watching the slight changes in polling results.

One Democratic strategist stated, “We should be moving upwards.” “That’s a sign that a campaign is on the right track. It’s troubling to say the least that we aren’t.

A second strategist also agreed: “This is not the place we want to be in less than three weeks.” This is frightening.”

The Harris campaign takes a risk by putting Vice President Biden on Fox News to do an interview. Some thought that the move was bold, but she might have reconsidered it if her campaign had been further along.

Obama caused a stir last week when, he suggested that Harris could win without the support of Black male voters. Obama’s tone was notable, and seemed to indicate that the Democratic Party is concerned about race.

Trump has also seen a movement in other polling averages over the last week.

Real Clear Politics’ averages of battleground polls show that there have been changes, however small, in the opinion of the former president.

Nate Silver has also found similar patterns. Trump gained a single point in Wisconsin and Nevada since last week.

Silver said that “neither Trump nor Harris should be overly confident or panicked.” He noted that he has never seen an election where the forecast was so close to 50/50.

A poll released by NBC News this week showed that the race was also deadlocked at 48 percent. Harris had a 5-point lead a month prior after Trump and Harris’ first debate.

The poll revealed a significant shift in the voters’ perceptions of Harris. In a survey conducted a month ago, 48 per cent of respondents said that they had a favorable impression of the vice-president, and 45 percent had a negative one. A month later Harris’s positive rating had dropped to 43 percent and his negative rating had risen to 49 percent.

Steve Kornacki, NBC’s Steve Kornacki, explained to Savannah Guthrie of “Today”, the show’s host earlier this week that “She was abovewater as they say.” “That is completely reversed. Now it looks like Trump’s. It’s a big change when it comes to a race so close.

The betting markets also indicate that Trump has gained the advantage over Harris, for the first week.

Polymarket, which won the legal battle to allow national election betting, gave Trump a 54 per cent chance of beating Harris as of Wednesday.

Harris’s news was not all bad.

Marist Poll, published on Wednesday, showed Harris ahead of Trump by 52 to 47 percent, a significant increase over earlier in the month when she was only 2 points ahead.

The Harris campaign also said it doesn’t sweat public polling which can fluctuate week-to-week or averages, which could be affected by partisan survey results.

David Plouffe, senior Harris advisor and a guest on the recent episode of “Pod Save America”, said that he spends very little time looking them up.

“And most are horses —. Some may be close but I would ignore any poll showing Kamala Harris leading by 4 to 5 percentage points in these seven states. Plouffe said, “Ignore any poll that shows Donald Trump leading by that much.” This thing is very close. “It’s a race of margin-of error.”

Professor Julian Zelizer of Princeton University’s history and public affairs department said that while Trump may have “some momentum,” this horse race “is all within the range of 50-50 split, which can go either way.”

He said that the ground game would be most important, and whoever gets more votes could win.

Zelizer said that what is “most striking in the past is that he is able to hold his position within the party, despite threats to use military forces against opponents, spreading lies about immigrants which is stoked by nativist discourse, and playing to racial or gender backlash.” This does not depress his support by 2024, which says more about the GOP’s state than anything.”

According to polls, Trump might have a slight advantage. Tranter, however, said that he had never seen a race so tight in recent history.

He said that “neither candidate should be shocked if they lose or win.”