New fear: Democrats could win Senate

August 2, 2018

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Confident talk in Washington that swaggering Republicans will fatten their majority in the Senate to a filibuster-proof 60 seats in the fall elections is shifting to nail-biting whispers the Democrats could take charge and install Sen. Chuck Schumer as leader.

Already fretting odds that the House will turn Democratic and that potential Speaker Nancy Pelosi will open impeachment proceedings against President Trump, a path to a Democratic Senate is beginning to emerge based on historical statistics and the anti-Trump sentiment in some areas of the country.

Geoffrey Skelley, associate editor of the University of Virginia Center for Politics’ Larry Sabato Crystal Ball, outlined the long-shot route Thursday and said that while GOP control remains the likely outcome, it is not a lock.

“While Republicans are favored to retain control of the chamber, and possibly gain seats in the process, Democrats do have a chance of winning a slim majority this November,” he wrote in a detailed historical analysis.

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