Democrats fear race may be slipping away from Harris
In Democratic circles, there is growing concern that Vice President Harris’ chances of winning the presidency are slipping away.
Democrats are still confident that Harris can beat former President Trump. In the seven states that will decide the contest, the margins are so narrow. A shift in polling or a mistake could be decisive.
Democrats privately express concern that the battleground polling has moved in Trump’s favor over the past two weeks.
According to the Cook Political Report, cracks are beginning to appear in the “blue walls” of Michigan Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Senate incumbents from Pennsylvania and Wisconsin have now entered a toss up race.
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In general, the three northern states tend to move in the same directions in the race for the presidency, but Harris is losing ground in polls to Trump, especially in Wisconsin. Democrats are worried about Arab American voters in Michigan.
The Democrats are not feeling any better about the upcoming election, which is less than two weeks from now.
It’s close. But are things moving in our direction? No. “And no one wants openly to admit that,” said a Democratic strategist. “Could still we win?” Maybe. Is it possible to be optimistic? No.”
A second strategist was even more sombre when asked to comment on the current situation: “If it’s a ‘vibe election, then the current vibes aren’t good.”
Harris’s other path to victory would be to win Pennsylvania, lose another blue wall state and win North Carolina and Nevada. However, neither of these states is in her camp. Neither are Arizona or Georgia, two swing states.
Jon Ralston is a veteran journalist who has covered politics in Nevada for many years. He reported that Republicans in Nevada had a rare lead statewide among those who voted early.
Ralston, in his popular blog for The Nevada Independent, wrote: “It is too early to call this a trend. But it was a big day for Republicans in Nevada.” Later, he noted that Democrats had reduced the Republican lead overnight, but the GOP still maintained a 2-point advantage as of Tuesday.
Jim Manley, a Democratic strategist who was a senior aide for then-Sen. Harry Reid, D-Nev., during his tenure as Senate Majority Leader, admitted that the rash news was demoralizing. He said that he is still optimistic about Harris’s prospects.
Manley stated that it was “pretty damn frustrating” for the election to be so close, given Trump’s increasingly extreme and erratic rhetoric in recent weeks.
He said, “I hope they have a plan.”
The Hill interviewed other Democrats on Tuesday, and they also expressed some optimism. Others pointed to Harris’s busy schedule during the final days of the campaign when she will be spending the majority of her time in battleground states.
Trump mocked Harris for not being in the spotlight for most of Tuesday – the vice president had been conducting two interviews – but she will be traveling to Houston this Friday to address a large audience about abortion rights.
Some people have raised eyebrows when they heard that Texas is not a swing-state.
Campaign aides believe that the moment, when she appears alongside women who were affected by the strict abortion laws of the state to begin her final campaign argument, will be powerful. They believe it will be a powerful moment that is broadcast across the nation and garner attention.
One consultant who was close to the campaign stated, “She needs big moments.” Polls indicate that abortion will continue to be a major issue for women of both parties.
Jamal Simmons, the Democratic strategist who was Harris’s communication director from early last year until now, praised his former boss, saying she ran a “spectacular campaign”. He also credited her for taking risks, including appearing on Fox News last week, and turning Republicans like former Rep. Liz Cheney, (Wyo.). “into another running partner.”
Brad Bannon, Democratic strategist, said that while the race was a dead heat “Harris’s vote had more growth potential than Trump.
Bannon stated that “She does much more than Trump” to reach her base. “The best examples are her stops with Cheney at swing suburbs where Nikki Haley was elected in Republican primaries.”
Trump’s personality is rapidly eroding.
Joel Payne, a Democratic strategist, said that both campaigns had a lot to do during the final days.
Payne stated, “I would prefer to have Harris do the difficult things instead of Trump.” “But don’t be mistaken: This is an election that will depend on turnout, and her campaign team must close strongly with its get-out-the vote operation in order to win.”
Former Obama White House aide said that the race could end in either direction and that no one should be shocked by the outcome.
The aide said, “It’s like two things are happening at once.” It’s either… she was a flawed candidate from the beginning, no one likes her and she is tainted with Biden. All of Team Blue’s macro-factors are now against them. The election has become about border issues, economics, and foreign affairs.
“Or, ofcourse — he ran a terrible, crazy campaign. He had no real fundraising or ground game, and then acted as if he were insane.”
It’s the opposite to 2016, when people asked, “How could this have happened?” This year, it feels like a matter of course.
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