Immigrants Increasingly Favor Republicans on Immigration Issues

Recent shifts in political party preference among immigrants in the United States have shown a surprising trend, with a significant number of them moving their support from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party, particularly on the topic of immigration. Analysis of election surveys from the 2020 and 2024 election cycles reveals a notable 49-point swing among voters born outside the U.S. concerning which party they believe handles immigration issues better.

According to data from the American National Election Studies (ANES), in the 2020 presidential elections, 58% of immigrant voters supported the Democrats on immigration issues, while only 24% favored the Republicans. Fast forward to 2024, and these numbers dramatically changed, with 45% of these voters backing the Republicans, and only 30% still supporting the Democrats.

Overall Voter Trend Also Leans Toward Republicans

This trend isn’t confined to immigrant voters alone. The ANES data, which has been the premier source of election-related data since 1952, also showed a smaller, yet significant, overall voter shift towards the Republicans. These findings underscore a broader national reevaluation of party efficacy in managing key issues like immigration.

Experts Weigh In

Daron Shaw, a member of the Fox News Decision Team and a political analyst, interprets these shifts as a reaction to the initial strong Democratic alignment among immigrant voters. Shaw suggests that this demographic had more perceptible room for ideological migration toward the GOP, particularly because, under President Donald Trump’s influence, immigration and border security have become deeply interconnected topics, working to the Republican’s advantage.

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Shaw, also a politics professor at the University of Texas, adds that the shift toward the Republican Party on immigration issues extends beyond immigrant communities to include native-born citizens, primarily because of the focused attention on border security.

Impact of Trump’s Immigration Policies

Immigrant and border security issues were significantly highlighted by Trump during his campaign to reclaim the presidency in the most recent election. Following his successful election, the Republicans regained the presidency, maintained their slim House majority, and recaptured the Senate. The party also saw gains among Black, Hispanic, and younger voters—groups historically seen as part of the Democratic base.

Since taking office, President Trump has sustained a high-profile focus on immigration and border security, instituting sweeping and sometimes controversial policies. These actions have kept these issues at the forefront of national politics, perhaps influencing public perception and party preference among immigrant voters further.

The Republican Party’s increasing alignment with the principles of border security, combined with active policy-making by leaders like President Trump, appear to be pivotal factors in why more immigrants are now favoring the GOP on immigration issues. This shift could have long-lasting impacts on the political landscape and party strategies moving forward.