40% of respondents said they’d vote for the Republican Congresswoman on Friday, June 25, a 35 point lead over her nearest competitor.

A new poll shows that U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert has a clear lead in the Republican primary for Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, which features six candidates. Voters are now receiving their ballots.

Fourty percent of those surveyed said they’d vote for Boebert at the June 25th primary. Five percent said they’d vote for Peter Yu, former state senator Jerry Sonnenberg, and Deborah Flora, a conservative commentator.

Forty percent of respondents said they weren’t sure who they’d vote for in the primaries, which will determine the candidates that the voters in the 4th District (a district with a high Republican majority) send to Congress this November.

Kaplan Strategies, a Florida-based firm, conducted the poll on May 31, among registered Republican voters and nonaffiliated voters likely to vote for the Republican Primary in the 4th District. The margin of error was 4.3 percentage points.

Kaplan Strategies says Boebert’s large lead can be explained through her name ID.

The pollster wrote in a memo that “with the primary less than one month away, all of her competitors have name recognition below or equal to 54%”.

Boebert’s campaign is the only one in the 4th District Republican Primary to use TV advertisements. Her big war chest is a huge advantage over the rest of her field.

Boebert is likely to also benefit from the large field of primary candidates in the 4th district. Boebert’s opponents are so numerous that the anti-Boebert votes are split. This gives her a chance to win without a majority.

47 percent of respondents said that they had a positive view of Boebert. She has been endorsed and praised by the former president Donald Trump. This is despite the fact that she has had a year full of controversy.

Boebert represents Colorado’s 3rd District Congressional District. This district spans from the Western Slope to Pueblo, and south-east Colorado. Last year, she switched to the 4th District to increase her chances of winning another term in Congress. In 2022 she won the 3rd District by just 546 votes, which is best explained by her controversial conduct in Congress.

The 4th district stretches from the Eastern Plains to Douglas County and Loveland. Ken Buck, a former U.S. Rep. who represented the district, won both his elections by 23 percentage point.

Three Democrats are running for the party nomination in the 4th District, but the national Democratic groups have largely ignored the race as they consider it a lost cause.