Haley’s last stand: Trump likely to clinch nomination soon after Super Tuesday sweep

Nikki Haley won the Republican primary for president in District of Columbia. But the month will end almost certainly with Donald Trump winning the nomination, and eliminating Haley from the race.

On Tuesday, Mr. Trump will win hundreds of delegates when 15 states that strongly support the former president vote for Republican primaries. One day earlier, the Supreme Court unanimously ruled that states could not remove Mr. Trump from ballots due to claims that he had engaged in insurrection.

If predictions are correct, he’ll end the day less than 200 delegates from his third Republican nomination. It is predicted that he will win the majority of the 884 delegate positions up for grabs during Super Tuesday contests.

Trump will not be on the ballot for November this week. This means that Ms. Haley can continue to fight until at least the 19th of March, when the results from a few states are likely to give Mr. Trump a primary victory.

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As of now, Ms. Haley’s win in the D.C. primaries, where she won 19 delegates, has slowed down Mr. Trump’s inevitable march towards the nomination.

Her campaign team boasted about her victory and how it shows that she has momentum going into Super Tuesday and beyond. They are aggressively reaching out with fundraising requests to supporters.

Ms. Haley, despite her odds, insists that she will not quit. She has formed a “leadership group” of local and state Republican leaders in Georgia. On March 12, a primary election with 59 delegates is held.

She disavowed on Sunday a pledge made by the Republican National Committee to support Donald Trump, if he were to become the nominee.

She said, “I’m not thinking about it,” on “Meet the Press”, NBC. If you mention an endorsement, then you are talking about a defeat. “I don’t believe that.”

Her decision to stay in the race sparked speculation she was considering running as a third party, but she denied this.

In the next round of competitions, Ms. Haley’s chances of winning the Republican Party nomination are likely to fall dramatically and quickly.

Few people see her victory in the heavily Democratic district, where only 2,000 Republicans voted, as an indication that she will soon be able to catch up with the former president.

The majority of states will have open primaries on Super Tuesday, allowing both Democrats and Independents to participate. Analysts say that Ms. Haley could win votes in Tennessee and Minnesota as well as North Carolina, where delegates are distributed proportionally.

She will not be expected to win any states outright. This will keep her count low, and allow Mr. Trump to increase it significantly.

Josh Putnam is the founder of FHQ Strategies. The website specializes in presidential elections, primary delegate rules, and other nonpartisan issues.

In February, when a memo declared that “the end was near” for Haley, Mr. Trump’s aides did not do a victory lap.

The Republican nominee must win 1,215 delegates. If Mr. Trump won 90% of the delegates at Super Tuesday, then his total would be approximately 1,040.

The Republican primaries and caucuses are scheduled for March 12 in Georgia, Mississippi, Washington and Hawaii. However they will not give Mr. Trump as many delegates to win the nomination.

If Mr. Trump won every delegate at the March 12th convention, he would still be about a dozen short.

Mr. Trump is likely to win the nomination when five states combine their primaries on March 19 and award 350 delegates. Trump will dominate the contests as he has in previous years.

Haley did not let that stop her from campaigning in Texas on Monday. This state hosts one of the largest Super Tuesday contests with 161 delegate at stake.

In a University of Texas poll of likely voters, conducted in late February, Mr. Trump led Ms. Haley in the state by 58 points.

At a rally held in Spring, Texas Ms. Haley emphasized her second place finish in New Hampshire where she received 43% of votes. She attacked the personality of Mr. Trump, his legal problems and his spending record as president. She promised to reduce spending and shrink government and suggested that she would not be leaving the race.

“We don’t anoint Kings in America.” “We have elections,” said Ms. Haley. “Texans deserve to vote.”

She claimed that Mr. Trump prevented Republicans from winning three of the last four national elections because voters rejected candidates endorsed by him. She predicted that this pattern would be repeated in November. She said that the polls showing Mr. Trump ahead of Mr. Biden for the general election were too close to call.

At the Texas rally, Ms. Haley asked: “How many losses do we need to suffer before we understand that Donald Trump is the real problem?”

Many people have asked about the campaign of Ms. Haley.

In an interview with Fox News, Ms. Haley gave “internal figures” she refused to divulge but claimed were positive for her election campaign.

She said, “Our goal is to simply be competitive.”

On Tuesday, Mr. Trump’s team predicted that Ms. Haley would suffer a “crushing defeat” and mocked her D.C. victory as a win for the swamp.

On Twitter, Mr. Trump announced his weekend victories in Missouri, Idaho, and Michigan where he won 134 delegates, while Ms. Haley only received four.

He said, “The real numbers will be on Super Tuesday.”