Vance widens lead over Ryan in final stretch of Ohio Senate race: poll
Republican J.D. According to a new poll, Vance is now leading Tim Ryan (D.Ohio) by a significant margin in the race for Ohio’s open Senate seat.
Emerson College’s last survey of the state’s midterm election results found that Vance was leading Ryan by 8 percentage points, 51% to 43%. Vance’s support has increased 5 points in Emerson’s race poll, while Ryan’s support dropped 2 points.
In the latest poll, only 4 percent of respondents indicated they were undecided. However, Vance’s lead jumps to 9 points when preferences are taken into account.
In a release, Spencer Kimball, Emerson College Polling’s executive director, stated that Vance was leading 13 points among men while Ryan was leading 10 points among women. Vance’s lead has grown to 18 points among men, while Ryan’s lead has narrowed down to 1 point among women.
47% of respondents ranked the economy as the top issue that influenced their vote. With 14 percent, threats to democracy was second and abortion access with 12 per cent were third.
The poll shows that President Biden’s approval is substantially lower in the state. Only 35% of respondents said they approve and 57% disapprove. As his national approval rating remains in the low 40s, Biden has mostly stayed out of key Senate races.
Others states, such as Nevada and Pennsylvania, have been considered to be the most competitive in the contest for control of the Senate. However some polls show that the race to succeed the retiring Sen. Rob Portman (R), in Ohio, is also tight.
Ryan was only 1 point ahead of Vance in a Marist poll, but FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Vance leading by 5 points. As Election Day approaches, polling has improved in many key Senate races for Republicans.
The latest survey was taken among 1,000 likely voters between Oct. 30 and Nov. 1. The margin of error was three points.